Term I · Michaelmas
Core
- Eighteen lectures
- Weekly tutor groups
- Trading competition
- Defended capstone
School of Quantitative Finance
Confidence Under Uncertainty
A selective graduate-style programme for those who must act when information is asymmetric, and every decision is a bet.
Quant Guild is a school for those who will make decisions under uncertainty: risk, asymmetric information, and irreversible bets.
There is no job or profitable trading strategy promise. The school's mission is simple: develop students capable and confident acting under uncertainty with a state-of-the-art quantitative toolkit and framework for decision making.
Sixteen weeks. Instruction by Roman Paolucci. Special lecture topics and guest speakers.
Term I · Michaelmas
Term II · Hilary
Official schedule of lectures, topics, and portfolio requirements.
Term I · Core
Each week: two lectures, a problem set, and a portfolio artefact.
Weeks 1–3
| Week | Lectures | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Functions & optimisationDynamics, SDEs & matrices | Numerical optimiser; GBM simulation & PCA |
| 2 | Probability & Bayesian beliefInference & modelling | Bayesian signal-updating notebook |
| 3 | Numerical calculusMonte Carlo simulation | Numerics library; variance-reduced MC pricer |
Weeks 4–6
| Week | Lectures | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | No-arbitrage, replicationMarket making | No-arbitrage pricer; dealer inventory simulation |
| 5 | Pricing under P and QBlack–Scholes: PDE to Greeks | Binomial pricer; implied-vol inversion |
| 6 | Vol surface: Heston & SABRRough vol & learned pricing | Surface calibration; neural pricing surrogate |
Weeks 7–9
| Week | Lectures | Portfolio |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Portfolio theory & factorsEmpirical returns & PCA | Portfolio analytics & optimisation report |
| 8 | Strategy diversification mathsRegimes & strategy sleeves | Paired-sleeve backtest; multi-sleeve memo |
| 9 | The research pipelineBacktesting methodology | Walk-forward report with realistic frictions |
Weeks 10–12
| Week | Lectures | Output |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Thesis & research designSpecial topic / guest | Research proposal & baseline |
| 11 | Robustness & validationSpecial topic / guest | Validation report |
| 12 | Live market-making finalCapstone defence to the cohort | Capstone dossier & trade log |
Term II · Research
A selective research extension across the businesses: market-neutral, reinsurance, managed futures, and long convexity. Two business rotations, two research papers.
Weeks 13–14
| Week | Focus | Deliverable |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | Business assignment & research questionData feasibility & benchmarks | Proposal defence; Paper I outline |
| 14 | Method lock & walk-forward designFirst live-market evidence | Paper I draft with in-/out-of-sample split |
Weeks 15–16
| Week | Focus | Deliverable |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Rotate business; attribution & stressDisconfirming cases | Paper II outline; robustness battery |
| 16 | Revision clinic & oral defenceHandoff of both papers | Paper II final; defended research dossier |
Admission is highly selective. Each term maintains a cohort of fifteen to thirty students. Selected applicants must pass a maths and coding check and meet with an admissions officer to discuss competence prior to any offer of enrollment.
For questions about admissions please email [email protected].
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Headmaster of Quant Guild and Managing Partner of Quant Guild Capital Roman Paolucci writes an unconventional letter each week covering topics from philosophy to the markets. The letter is public. It is not a report on the fund, and it is not investment advice.
Latest
Monday, November 9, 2026
Adventure is the furthest thing from a pleasant experience.
Read the letter